Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 375.167875 425.403021 481.037477 547.423252 624.743353 712.267001 819.279350
2025-12-07 293.728480 358.128493 435.785101 537.120235 667.026316 829.541616 1050.716088
2025-12-14 250.593877 320.404190 409.460735 532.919627 702.036641 929.121069 1263.200742
2025-12-21 213.909567 283.564441 376.341261 511.159657 705.781052 982.428395 1416.307093
2025-12-28 198.166920 271.562979 373.302985 527.815912 762.260996 1114.332290 1702.293781
2026-01-04 186.777989 263.678896 374.179340 548.886725 826.454948 1265.296706 2043.387491
2026-01-11 172.377503 249.539098 363.852666 550.941988 860.300986 1372.059308 2329.334447
2026-01-18 156.772212 231.844662 346.001457 538.479382 868.011744 1435.306194 2548.417600
2026-01-25 143.709971 216.711062 330.404739 527.451131 875.929101 1498.802722 2778.048932
2026-02-01 137.486538 211.655213 330.145519 541.660855 929.100993 1650.672789 3209.574145
2026-02-08 129.071837 202.257249 321.770209 540.655026 954.127046 1752.717236 3558.181802
2026-02-15 120.747866 192.276217 311.434601 534.852141 969.034672 1836.508355 3883.448101
2026-02-22 114.508167 185.440473 306.113743 538.075477 1002.749482 1965.697452 4346.688816
2026-03-01 106.819949 175.528140 294.565370 528.408161 1009.515741 2039.377931 4695.058531
2026-03-08 100.715326 167.891245 286.388888 524.260037 1026.917929 2138.767586 5131.738362
2026-03-15 92.798184 156.450731 270.339370 502.912120 1004.972721 2145.168351 5323.543398
2026-03-22 90.573118 155.111909 272.891903 519.254404 1067.320645 2359.524163 6147.205121
2026-03-29 88.994115 154.815387 277.342602 539.925830 1142.244377 2618.169430 7177.144747
2026-04-05 85.306902 150.292634 273.225772 541.941998 1174.037571 2773.245919 7935.479020
2026-04-12 80.324526 142.969376 263.027251 529.716077 1170.099040 2833.566099 8404.161016
2026-04-19 75.878005 136.397982 253.857342 518.896521 1168.287712 2899.594570 8913.463058
2026-04-26 74.268850 135.252094 255.595541 532.837214 1230.629521 3157.084923 10189.977010
2026-05-03 71.300843 131.217413 251.059345 531.850466 1254.311897 3307.262688 11120.341988